First, China's particleboard production
(1) China's particleboard production in 2011-2015
According to the statistics of the State Forestry Administration, the annual output of China's particleboard in 2010 and before was below 15 million cubic meters. In 2011, China's particleboard production surged, with statistics showing 25.59 million cubic meters per year (Figure 1). During the five years from 2011 to 2015, China's particleboard production was around 20 million cubic meters per year.
Figure 1: China's particleboard production from 2011 to 2015
(II) China's particleboard production in 2016
According to the latest statistics from the State Forestry Administration, the production of particleboard in 2016 was 26.5 million cubic meters, including 25.72 million cubic meters of wood particle board and 780,000 cubic meters of non-wood particle board. In wood chipboard, the production of oriented strand board (OSB) is 910,000 cubic meters. In 2016, China's particleboard production increased by 6.2 million cubic meters compared with 2015, an increase of 30%.
2. Distribution of production capacity and production line of China's particleboard in 2016
(I) Capacity of China's particleboard in 2016
According to statistics, as of the end of 2016, a total of 256 particleboard production lines were produced in 2016, with a total capacity of 17.875 million cubic meters per year.
(II) Main distribution and production capacity of China's particleboard production line
China's particleboard production lines are mainly distributed in 22 provinces and autonomous regions such as Anhui, Fujian and Guangdong. There are no particleboard production lines in Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Chongqing, Shanxi, Tibet and other provinces and autonomous regions. The distribution of China's particleboard provinces is shown in the table.
Figure 2: China's particleboard production line and capacity distribution as of the end of 2016 (incomplete statistics)
As can be seen from the data in Figure 2, by the end of 2016, there were 6 provinces and autonomous regions with a production capacity of more than 1 million m3/year in China's particleboard production lines, namely Guangdong, Hebei, Shandong, Henan, Guangxi and Fujian provinces, including Guangdong and Hebei. Shandong Province is over or close to 2 million cubic meters per year. There are 6 provinces and autonomous regions with an annual production capacity of 500,000 to 990,000 cubic meters per year, and 10 provinces and autonomous regions with an annual production capacity of 500,000 cubic meters per year.
(III) Characteristics of China's particleboard production line
The characteristics of China's particleboard production line in 2016 are:
1) The equipment level of particleboard production line in different regions is quite different
It can be seen from Fig. 2 that in the particleboard production lines of various provinces, some areas are mainly large-scale production lines, and some areas are still mainly small-scale multi-lamination machine production lines, and the equipment is outdated. The average single-line capacity is obtained by dividing the total production capacity of particleboard in each province by the number of production lines. The smaller the average single-line capacity, the smaller the production scale of the production line in the region and the lower the overall equipment level. In 2016, the average single-line production capacity of the national particleboard industry was 70,000 m3/year/bar. The provinces with an average single-line capacity of over 100,000 m3/year/strip are only Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Hubei Province and Shaanxi Province. The provinces with an average single-line capacity of 80,000 to 100,000 cubic meters per year per year are in Guizhou, Yunnan and Henan provinces. In addition, the average single-line capacity of the three provinces is less than 50,000 cubic meters per year per strip, and the production line is small.
It can be seen from the above that the equipment level of particleboard production lines in different regions of China is quite different. The regions with higher average single-line production capacity are basically the provinces with rapid development of the particleboard industry in recent years. The new production lines are mainly continuous flat production lines, which has improved the industrial level of the whole region.
In the 256 particleboard production lines produced before the end of 2016, there are 23 continuous flat pressed particleboard production lines with a total capacity of 5.47 million cubic meters per year, accounting for 30% of the national total particleboard production capacity. The average single continuous flat particleboard production line has a capacity of 238,000 cubic meters per year per strip.
2) Distribution characteristics of the production line
It can be seen from the distribution of China's particleboard production line and capacity (Figure 2) that some of China's large particleboard production capacity is mainly concentrated in areas with relatively abundant raw material resources, such as Guangxi and Henan; some are distributed in downstream market gathering areas such as Guangdong and Sichuan. Another feature is that the particleboard production line is concentrated in developed areas with convenient logistics, such as Shandong Province.
3) Newly completed production line between 2014-2016
Due to the relatively low market of China's particleboard in 2014 and previous years, there were fewer new particleboard production lines in the three years from 2014 to 2016. In the past three years, 32 production lines for particleboard production were completed and the total production capacity was 3.575 million m3/year. There are 9 production lines with a total production capacity of 1.74 million m3/year, which is exactly 50% of the capacity of the newly built production line. In the newly-built particleboard production line between 2014 and 2016, the oriented strand board accounted for a relatively high proportion. A total of 8 production lines of oriented particleboards of different scales were built, with a total production capacity of 1.08 million m3/year, which is close to 1/3 of the newly added particleboard production capacity.
3. Production lines and distribution of particleboards under construction and new construction
(1) 2017 construction and new particleboard production line
As the Chinese particleboard market has gradually improved since 2015, the particleboard industry has ushered in a new wave of construction investment. As of the end of June 2017, a total of 55 production lines (including production lines that have been completed and put into operation in the first half of 2017) have been confirmed in 2017, with a total production capacity of 10,400 m3/year.
In the next one year, 55 new particleboard production lines will be built. It is expected that by the end of 2018, the production capacity of particleboard will increase by 10.4 million m3/year. According to the analysis of the production plan, the production capacity of particleboard produced in 2017 is 7.09 million m3/year, which will be the year with the largest new capacity of particleboard in recent years. Based on the existing production capacity of particleboard production line, it is estimated that by the end of 2018, China's particleboard production capacity will reach 28 million m3/year (current statistics are 27.88 million m3/year). Of course, in the coming year, due to local environmental management and control, a considerable number of old production lines will be eliminated or discontinued. According to preliminary estimates, due to the remediation of environmental and corporate pollutant emissions in Hebei Province, it is expected that the Langfang area of ​​Hebei Province will phase out the particle board backward production capacity of 1 million m3/year in 2017 (2016 production capacity of 1.13 million m3/year). Shandong Heze area will eliminate backward production capacity of 300,000 m3/year, and other areas will also have some backward production capacity eliminated. China's particleboard production capacity is expected to be around 26 million m3/year by the end of 2018, and China's particleboard production capacity is growing rapidly.
The average production capacity of 55 particleboard production lines under construction and proposed in 2017 is about 180,000 m3/year/bar. Compared with the national average particleboard production capacity of 70,000 m3/year/year at the end of 2016, the average single-line production capacity has increased significantly, and the industry is fast. upgrade. Of the 55 new particleboard production lines, 34 production lines are continuous flat particleboard production lines with a total capacity of 7.5 million m3/year, accounting for 75% of the total new capacity. The average single-line production capacity is 220,000 m3/year/bar, which is slightly lower than the average single-line production capacity of the existing continuous-pressed particleboard production line of 238,000 m3/year/bar, reflecting that the current investment production line not only considers the scale upgrade, but also considers the source of raw materials. In terms of market radiation and other factors, companies are investing in a moderately-scale production line, rather than arbitrarily seeking for it.
In 2017-2018, 4 new production lines of oriented strand board will be built, with a total production capacity of 1.07 million m3/year; 6 straw chipboard production lines with a total production capacity of 405,000 m3/year.
Another feature of the new particleboard production line in 2017-2018 is the conversion of some fiberboard production lines to particleboard production. Among the newly-built 55 particleboard production lines, 5 are fiberboard production lines and modified particleboard production lines, and the most concentrated area is Sichuan Province. There are 3 rebuilt particleboard production lines, as well as Guangdong Province and Fujian Province. Analysis of the reasons, mainly because these enterprises are mainly in the furniture industry, with the rapid development of customized homes, the market demand for sheet metal has changed, so some companies have also converted fiberboard from fiberboard to meet market demand.
(II) Regional distribution of particleboard production lines under construction and production in 2018 and distribution of production capacity in major regions
Figure 3: New capacity of particleboard in each province and estimated total production capacity of particleboard in each province in 2018
Figure 3 shows the production lines and capacity of the particleboards under construction in each province, as well as the production and production capacity of the particleboard production lines in each province in 2018.
During 2017-2018, the new particleboard production line will be mainly concentrated in Shandong Province, Jiangsu Province, Sichuan Province, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and Hebei Province. The total new capacity in these five regions will reach 6.4 million m3/year, accounting for the new capacity in the country. More than 60%. In particular, Shandong Province has 13 new production lines in the province, with an added capacity of 2.13 million m3/year; followed by Jiangsu Province and Sichuan Province. The new production lines are 4 and 6 respectively, and the newly added capacity is 1.25 million m3/ Years and 1.13 million m3/year, both exceeding 1 million m3/year. Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region has a new capacity of 990,000 m3/year; Hebei Province has a new capacity of 930,000 m3/year. In addition, Henan Province, Hubei Province, Anhui Province, and Guangdong Province are also provinces with more new capacity.
It is estimated that the production capacity of particleboard in Shandong Province will exceed 4 million m3/year in 2018, becoming the largest province in China's particleboard production capacity; the production capacity of Guangdong Province, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Henan Province and Hebei Province will reach 2 million to 4 million m3/year, Jiangsu Province and Sichuan Province. The province's production capacity is close to 2 million m3/year. The provinces with a capacity of more than 1 million m3/year are also in Hubei, Anhui and Fujian provinces. The total production capacity of the above seven provinces or autonomous regions is expected to be close to 20 million m3/year in 2018, accounting for about 70% of the country's estimated total capacity.
Figure 4: Schematic diagram of the distribution of China's main particleboard production capacity in 2018
As can be seen from Figure 4, 70% of the production capacity of the production and new particleboard production line is mainly concentrated in North China and East China, such as Hebei, Shandong, Jiangsu, Guangxi, Guangdong, South China and Sichuan. In China's Qinghai, Gansu, Shanxi and other provinces, there is basically no scale particleboard production line.
(III) Characteristics of construction and new production lines
Looking at China's construction and new particleboard production lines, it has the following obvious features:
1) High regional concentration
The added capacity of particleboard is mainly concentrated in East China and North China, especially in the surrounding areas of Henan, Shandong and Jiangsu. It is a very dense new production line of particleboard. The reason for the analysis is that on the one hand, the plantation resources in this area are relatively abundant, on the other hand, the regional logistics is convenient and there is a good downstream market foundation.
2) High production capacity of new production single line, rapid industrial upgrading
Statistics show that the average single-line production capacity of new production lines in 2017-2018 reached 180,000 m3/year/bar, and the proportion of continuous flat-pressed lines representing the advanced level of particleboard production reached 61.8%, and the proportion of newly-built continuous flat-pressed lines increased. 75%. It can be seen that the equipment level of China's particleboard industry production line is rapidly upgrading in 2017-2018. It is estimated that by the end of 2018, China's particleboard continuous flattening production line will reach 57, with a production capacity of nearly 13 million m3/year, accounting for 50% of the total particleboard production capacity of the year. .
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